Daily Economic Update: Mortgage Rates, Inflation

Each day the Research staff takes a look at recently released economic indicators, addressing what these indicators mean for REALTORS® and their clients. Today’s update highlights mortgage rates and inflation.

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  The rate on a thirty year fixed rate mortgage remained relatively unchanged last week at 4.69%, but is down 26 bps from mid-April.
• The average annual inflation expectation in the U.S. over the next ten years declined by 9 bps to 2.39%.
• The decline in long term interest rates reflects conflicting signals from the latest employment report - more people employed, but a higher unemployment rate due to a bigger labor force.
• Incredibly, despite rising and accelerating consumer prices and producer prices, the global bond investors have largely discounted any future inflationary pressure.  If there is a change in this sentiment, interest rates could quickly spike upward.