Based on the latest monthly Realtors® Confidence Index, which summarizes the responses of over 3,600 Realtors® to a monthly market survey, there has been a leveling off at the MLS sales level in the sale of distressed properties in recent months.

What does this mean for Realtors®? The press has been publicizing the potential for continued declines in the real estate markets. However, approximately three years’ worth of data indicates that distressed sales have leveled off in the 30 to 35 percent range in the real estate markets. This suggests that financial institutions are feeding the properties into the market on a relatively constant basis, and given current economic conditions no great surge of shadow inventories has appeared. The good news is that the markets are clearing the properties and that additional price pressures from a surge of shadow inventories does not appear likely. The bad news is that the problem appears likely to be with us for the next two to three years, suggesting that future price appreciation may be slow.

Jed Smith, Managing Director, Quantitative Research

Jed Smith is Managing Director, Quantitative Research with the National Association of Realtors®. He has worked on real estate issues for the past 20 years, providing input on a variety of housing, commercial real estate, tax, and planning issues. Recently he has been involved in several international studies.

6 Responses to Realtors® Confidence Index – Distressed Sales Leveling Off

  1. [...] “This suggests that financial institutions are feeding the properties into the market on a relatively constant basis, and given current economic conditions no great surge of shadow inventories has appeared,” Smith said in a recent blog post. [...]

  2. [...] “This suggests that financial institutions are feeding the properties into the market on a relatively constant basis, and given current economic conditions no great surge of shadow inventories has appeared,” Smith said in a recent blog post. [...]

  3. [...] Approximately three years’ worth of data indicates that distressed sales have settled in the 30 to 35 percent range, according to Smith.  “This suggests that financial institutions are feeding the properties into the market on a relatively constant basis, and given current economic conditions no great surge of shadow inventories has appeared,” Smith said in a recent blog post. [...]

  4. [...] “This suggests that financial institutions are feeding the properties into the market on a relatively constant basis, and given current economic conditions no great surge of shadow inventories has appeared,” Smith said in a recent blog post. [...]

  5. [...] “This suggests that financial institutions are feeding the properties into the market on a relatively constant basis, and given current economic conditions no great surge of shadow inventories has appeared,” Smith said in a recent blog post. [...]

  6. [...] “This suggests that financial institutions are feeding the properties into the market on a relatively constant basis, and given current economic conditions no great surge of shadow inventories has appeared,” Smith said in a recent blog post. [...]

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