Economists' Outlook

Housing stats and analysis from NAR's research experts.

Mortgage Purchase Applications, ADP Employment Report

Each day the Research staff takes a look at recently released economic indicators, addressing what these indicators mean for REALTORS® and their clients. Today’s update discusses mortgage purchase applications and the ADP National Employment report.

  • Mortgage applications were mostly flat during the week ending October 28, posting a slight 0.2 percent rise.
  • The Purchase Index advanced 1.8 percent from the prior week. The Refinance index declined 0.2 percent, as interest rates on 30-year fixed mortgages declined to 4.31 percent from 4.33 percent.
  • Cash purchases - which have been steady at 30 percent of transactions - were not captured in the data.
  • Based on the October ADP National Employment report, nonfarm private business employment increased by 110,000 jobs between September and October. This follows an upwardly revised August figure of 116,000 jobs.
  • Employment increased among small (<50 workers) and medium-sized (50-to-499 workers) businesses, and declined in large businesses.
  • The ADP figure precedes Friday’s employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is expected to show lingering weakness, as state and local government employment continues to contract.
  • Employment remains moderate and continues below the pace needed for sustainable economic growth.
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